West Virginia vs Texas Tech 10/13/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with West Virginia winning 52% of simulations, and Texas Tech 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. West Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Texas Tech wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Geno Smith is averaging 344 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (46% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Seth Doege is averaging 380 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEXTCH +5

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